Jets at Chiefs prediction, Week 9: simulated score, win chances and touchdown picks

Numbers as published Nov 3, 2026 at 7:42 AM Central. The live board updates after injury news and locks each game at kickoff.

SharpTrack played this game 30,000 times, drive by drive. KC wins 77% of the simulations and NYJ 23%; the average score is NYJ 18.6, KC 27.9. The betting line has KC favored by 9.5 with a total of 46.5.

Most likely Chiefs touchdown scorers

Kenneth Walker III (RB): 68%. Workload: 17.6 carries and 3.9 targets a game, 68% of snaps.

Every player in this game, prop ranges and the full simulation