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Eagles at Commanders prediction, Week 8: simulated score, win chances and touchdown picks

Numbers as published Oct 30, 2026 at 6:03 PM Central. The live board updates after injury news and locks each game at kickoff.

SharpTrack played this game 30,000 times, drive by drive. WAS wins 69% of the simulations and PHI 31%; the average score is PHI 17.2, WAS 23.1. The betting line has WAS favored by 6.0 with a total of 40.5.

Most likely Eagles touchdown scorers

• DeVonta Smith (WR): 25%. Workload: 8.5 targets a game, 80% of snaps, snaps down 14 points last game.
• Saquon Barkley (RB): 23%. Workload: 12.5 carries and 2.1 targets a game, 51% of snaps, snaps down 36 points last game.
• Dallas Goedert (TE): 21%. Workload: 6.1 targets a game, 75% of snaps.

Most likely Commanders touchdown scorers

• Rachaad White (RB): 33%. Workload: 6.9 carries and 2.8 targets a game, 52% of snaps, snaps up 17 points last game.
• Stefon Diggs (WR): 30%. Workload: 6.8 targets a game, 58% of snaps.
• Jayden Daniels (QB): 28%. Workload: 7.1 carries a game, 89% of snaps, snaps up 11 points last game.

Every player in this game, prop ranges and the full simulation