Vikings at Lions prediction, Week 8: simulated score, win chances and touchdown picks

Numbers as published Oct 30, 2026 at 6:03 PM Central. The live board updates after injury news and locks each game at kickoff.

SharpTrack played this game 30,000 times, drive by drive. DET wins 60% of the simulations and MIN 40%; the average score is MIN 21.8, DET 25.1. The betting line has DET favored by 3.0 with a total of 46.5.

Most likely Vikings touchdown scorers

Aaron Jones (RB): 31%. Workload: 15.8 carries and 3.3 targets a game, 61% of snaps, snaps down 36 points last game.
Justin Jefferson (WR): 29%. Workload: 6.9 targets a game, 84% of snaps, snaps up 9 points last game.
Jordan Mason (RB): 27%. Workload: 10.7 carries and 0.7 targets a game, 40% of snaps, snaps up 24 points last game.

Most likely Lions touchdown scorers

Jahmyr Gibbs (RB): 71%. Workload: 19.9 carries and 6.4 targets a game, 76% of snaps, snaps up 14 points last game.
Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR): 41%. Workload: 11.2 targets a game, 86% of snaps, snaps down 8 points last game.
Jameson Williams (WR): 33%. Workload: 6.6 targets a game, 89% of snaps.

Every player in this game, prop ranges and the full simulation