Colts at Jaguars prediction, Week 8: simulated score, win chances and touchdown picks

Numbers as published Oct 30, 2026 at 6:03 PM Central. The live board updates after injury news and locks each game at kickoff.

SharpTrack played this game 30,000 times, drive by drive. JAX wins 79% of the simulations and IND 21%; the average score is IND 18.3, JAX 28.5. The betting line has JAX favored by 10.0 with a total of 46.5.

Most likely Colts touchdown scorers

Jonathan Taylor (RB): 50%. Workload: 19.5 carries and 3.5 targets a game, 78% of snaps, snaps down 11 points last game.
Tyler Warren (TE): 29%. Workload: 0.5 carries and 7.1 targets a game, 89% of snaps.
Josh Downs (WR): 19%. Workload: 6.1 targets a game, 76% of snaps, snaps up 9 points last game.

Most likely Jaguars touchdown scorers

Bhayshul Tuten (RB): 49%. Workload: 12.3 carries and 2.0 targets a game, 45% of snaps, snaps up 13 points last game.
Parker Washington (WR): 36%. Workload: 7.5 targets a game, 73% of snaps.
Jakobi Meyers (WR): 33%. Workload: 5.9 targets a game, 82% of snaps.

Every player in this game, prop ranges and the full simulation