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Browns at Steelers prediction, Week 8: simulated score, win chances and touchdown picks

Numbers as published Oct 30, 2026 at 6:03 PM Central. The live board updates after injury news and locks each game at kickoff.

SharpTrack played this game 30,000 times, drive by drive. PIT wins 62% of the simulations and CLE 38%; the average score is CLE 17.8, PIT 21.4. The betting line has PIT favored by 3.5 with a total of 39.5.

Most likely Browns touchdown scorers

• Quinshon Judkins (RB): 36%. Workload: 15.3 carries and 3.3 targets a game, 56% of snaps.
• Harold Fannin Jr. (TE): 24%. Workload: 6.0 targets a game, 83% of snaps.
• KC Concepcion (WR): 24%. Workload: 1.4 carries and 6.6 targets a game, 70% of snaps, snaps up 9 points last game.

Most likely Steelers touchdown scorers

• Jaylen Warren (RB): 41%. Workload: 14.4 carries and 4.1 targets a game, 66% of snaps.
• DK Metcalf (WR): 29%. Workload: 7.9 targets a game, 92% of snaps.
• Rico Dowdle (RB): 29%. Workload: 10.5 carries and 3.8 targets a game, 49% of snaps.

Every player in this game, prop ranges and the full simulation