Ravens at Bills prediction, Week 8: simulated score, win chances and touchdown picks

Numbers as published Oct 30, 2026 at 6:03 PM Central. The live board updates after injury news and locks each game at kickoff.

SharpTrack played this game 30,000 times, drive by drive. BUF wins 59% of the simulations and BAL 41%; the average score is BAL 25.6, BUF 28.8. The betting line has BUF favored by 3.0 with a total of 54.5.

Most likely Ravens touchdown scorers

Derrick Henry (RB): 57%. Workload: 20.4 carries and 1.5 targets a game, 56% of snaps.
Zay Flowers (WR): 41%. Workload: 0.5 carries and 8.4 targets a game, 76% of snaps, snaps up 9 points last game.
Ja'Kobi Lane (WR): 23%. Workload: 4.4 targets a game, 56% of snaps, snaps up 13 points last game.

Most likely Bills touchdown scorers

James Cook (RB): 63%. Workload: 18.8 carries and 2.2 targets a game, 60% of snaps.
Josh Allen (QB): 42%. Recent scoring: 1.00 touchdowns a game, weighted to recent games.
Keon Coleman (WR): 33%. Workload: 4.1 targets a game, 68% of snaps, snaps up 17 points last game.

Every player in this game, prop ranges and the full simulation