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Falcons at Buccaneers prediction, Week 8: simulated score, win chances and touchdown picks

Numbers as published Oct 30, 2026 at 6:03 PM Central. The live board updates after injury news and locks each game at kickoff.

SharpTrack played this game 30,000 times, drive by drive. TB wins 58% of the simulations and ATL 42%; the average score is ATL 21.0, TB 23.6. The betting line has TB favored by 2.5 with a total of 44.5.

Most likely Falcons touchdown scorers

• Bijan Robinson (RB): 50%. Workload: 18.0 carries and 4.9 targets a game, 75% of snaps.
• Drake London (WR): 29%. Workload: 8.7 targets a game, 90% of snaps, snaps down 9 points last game.
• Kyle Pitts (TE): 23%. Workload: 5.3 targets a game, 69% of snaps, snaps down 13 points last game.

Most likely Buccaneers touchdown scorers

• Bucky Irving (RB): 52%. Workload: 18.1 carries and 3.0 targets a game, 62% of snaps.
• Emeka Egbuka (WR): 37%. Workload: 8.1 targets a game, 81% of snaps.
• Kenny Gainwell (RB): 26%. Workload: 5.9 carries and 3.2 targets a game, 39% of snaps, snaps down 9 points last game.

Every player in this game, prop ranges and the full simulation